Title: The intuitiveness of the law of large numbers
Authors: Lem, Stephanie # ×
Issue Date: 2015
Publisher: Springer
Series Title: ZDM vol:47 pages:783-792
Abstract: In this paper two studies are reported in which two contrasting claims concerning the intuitiveness of the law of large numbers are investigated. While Sedlmeier and Gigerenzer (J Behav Decis Mak 10:33–51, 1997) claim that people have an intuition that conforms to the law of large numbers, but that they can only employ this intuition in specific circumstances, Kahneman and Tversky (Cogn. Psychol. 3:430–454, 1972) claim that people have an intuition that prohibits them from correctly applying the law of large numbers to certain tasks, making it necessary to reason analytically and inhibit the intuitive response. The dual processing theory of reasoning was used as the theoretical framework to study these two claims, while priming and a working memory load method were used to study the claims in more detail. No evidence was found for the
claims of Sedlmeier and Gigerenzer (J. Behav. Decis. Mak. 10:33–51, 1997). Various possible explanations for the results are provided and options for further research are
ISSN: 1863-9690
Publication status: published
KU Leuven publication type: IT
Appears in Collections:Instructional Psychology and Technology
× corresponding author
# (joint) last author

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