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Title: Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes
Authors: Daniau, A. -L ×
Bartlein, P. J
Harrison, S. P
Prentice, I. C
Brewer, S
Friedlingstein, P
Harrison-Prentice, T. I
Inoue, J
Izumi, K
Marlon, J. R
Mooney, S
Power, M. J
Stevenson, J
Tinner, W
Andric, M
Atanassova, J
Behling, H
Black, M
Blarquez, O
Brown, K. J
Carcaillet, C
Colhoun, E. A
Colombaroli, D
Davis, B. A. S
D'Costa, D
Dodson, J
Dupont, L
Eshetu, Z
Gavin, D. G
Genries, A
Haberle, S
Hallett, D. J
Hope, G
Horn, S. P
Kassa, T. G
Katamura, F
Kennedy, L. M
Kershaw, P
Krivonogov, S
Long, C
Magri, D
Marinova, Elena
McKenzie, G. M
Moreno, P. I
Moss, P
Neumann, F. H
Norstrom, E
Paitre, C
Rius, D
Roberts, N
Robinson, G. S
Sasaki, N
Scott, L
Takahara, H
Terwilliger, V
Thevenon, F
Turner, R
Valsecchi, V. G
Vanniere, B
Walsh, M
Williams, N
Zhang, Y #
Issue Date: 2012
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
Series Title: Global Biogeochemical Cycles vol:26
Article number: ARTN GB4007
Abstract: Climate is an important control on biomass burning, but the sensitivity of fire to changes in temperature and moisture balance has not been quantified. We analyze sedimentary charcoal records to show that the changes in fire regime over the past 21,000 yrs are predictable from changes in regional climates. Analyses of paleo- fire data show that fire increases monotonically with changes in temperature and peaks at
intermediate moisture levels, and that temperature is quantitatively the most important
driver of changes in biomass burning over the past 21,000 yrs. Given that a similar relationship between climate drivers and fire emerges from analyses of the interannual variability in biomass burning shown by remote-sensing observations of month-by-month burnt area between 1996 and 2008, our results signal a serious cause for concern in the
face of continuing global warming.
ISSN: 0886-6236
Publication status: published
KU Leuven publication type: IT
Appears in Collections:Ecology, Evolution and Biodiversity Conservation Section
× corresponding author
# (joint) last author

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