Title: Long-run abstinence after narcotics abuse: What are the odds?
Authors: Dekimpe, Marnik ×
Van de Gucht, Linda
Hanssens, DM
Powers, KI #
Issue Date: 1998
Series Title: Management Science vol:44 issue:11 (Nov.) pages:1478-1492
Abstract: The long-run odds that narcotics users remain abstinent after methadone treatment are considered. A flexible split-hazard specification that allows for individual-level differences in both the long-run probability of eventual relapse and the short-run timing of relapse is developed. The model is applied to a comprehensive data set involving individual drug abuse and treatment histories for over 800 addicts. Findings indicate: 1 that the short-run success of methadone programs does not automatically translate into long-run abstinence, which suggests the need for aftercare, 2. the value of preventing a teenager of young adult from initiating, and 3. the possibility of identifying high-risk groups, both in terms of age of first daily use and in terms of ethnicity.
ISSN: 0025-1909
Publication status: published
KU Leuven publication type: IT
Appears in Collections:Research Centre for Marketing and Consumer Science, Leuven
Research Center Finance, Leuven
× corresponding author
# (joint) last author

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